Republicans lost 40 seats in the 2018 elections for the US House of Representatives. Emily Blanchard (Tuck School of Business) joins to discuss new research that investigates how Trump’s trade war affected the 2018 election. The evidence suggests the combination of the trade war and attempts to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act may have cost the Republicans as many as 15 House seats.
- Blanchard, Emily J., Chad P. Bown, and Davin Chor. 2019. Trump’s trade war cost Republicans congressional seats in the 2018 midterm elections. VoxEU.org, 26 November.
- Blanchard, Emily J., Chad P. Bown, and Davin Chor. 2019. Did Trump’s Trade War Impact the 2018 Election? Working Paper, November.